Muse Spark 1.3
United States benchmark
Exact match by programall 18 output groups, best first
Bar length is the unweighted exact-match rate on that program's outputs; the right column is the program's share of the headline weight, which follows household dollars, so the bars do not average to the headline.
- Local income tax100.0%0.3%
- Person-level Early Head Start eligibility100.0%3.1%
- Person-level Head Start eligibility100.0%1.2%
- Self-employment tax100.0%2.1%
- Person-level WIC eligibility99.4%0.3%
- TANF99.0%0.3%
- SSI99.0%2.0%
- Person-level Medicare eligibility98.3%11%
- Free school meals eligibility98.0%0.7%
- Reduced-price school meals eligibility98.0%0.1%
- Person-level CHIP eligibility97.2%0.2%
- Person-level Medicaid eligibility96.5%30%
- Payroll tax91.7%16%
- Federal refundable credits88.0%3.7%
- SNAP86.0%4.1%
- State refundable credits80.8%0.6%
- Federal tax before refundable credits61.9%19%
- State tax before refundable credits58.1%6.0%
Table view (exact, within 1%, outputs), hardest first
| Program | Exact | Within 1% | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| State tax before refundable credits | 58.1% | 61.3% | 93 |
| Federal tax before refundable credits | 61.9% | 69.0% | 84 |
| State refundable credits | 80.8% | 80.8% | 99 |
| SNAP | 86.0% | 87.1% | 93 |
| Federal refundable credits | 88.0% | 91.0% | 100 |
| Payroll tax | 91.7% | 94.8% | 96 |
| Person-level Medicaid eligibility | 96.5% | 96.5% | 173 |
| Person-level CHIP eligibility | 97.2% | 97.2% | 177 |
| Free school meals eligibility | 98.0% | 98.0% | 100 |
| Reduced-price school meals eligibility | 98.0% | 98.0% | 100 |
| Person-level Medicare eligibility | 98.3% | 98.3% | 172 |
| SSI | 99.0% | 99.0% | 97 |
| TANF | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| Person-level WIC eligibility | 99.4% | 99.4% | 177 |
| Local income tax | 100.0% | 100.0% | 98 |
| Person-level Early Head Start eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 38 |
| Person-level Head Start eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 38 |
| Self-employment tax | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100 |
Hardest casesworst misses on positive references
- Federal refundable credits250% offReference $822 · predicted $2,878Inspect household #100
- State tax before refundable credits179% offReference $661 · predicted $1,845Inspect household #007
- SNAP100% offReference $240 · predicted $0Inspect household #013
- State refundable credits100% offReference $25 · predicted $0Inspect household #013
- SNAP100% offReference $288 · predicted $0Inspect household #027
- State refundable credits100% offReference $62 · predicted $0Inspect household #028
Scores are from the frozen manuscript snapshot under the AI-alone condition: structured responses over the same household facts (whole-scenario or in output subsets, per the serving-configuration table), no tools, graded against PolicyEngine reference outputs. See the leaderboard and paper for methodology. The frozen US annotations cover 8,765 rows whose legacy threshold score is below 1. That universe contains 8,761 of 8,761 exact-match misses and 4 exact hits. Another 2,329 rows with bounded score below 100 were not selected and have no audit annotation.