MiniMax M3
United States benchmark
Exact match by programall 18 output groups, best first
Bar length is the unweighted exact-match rate on that program's outputs; the right column is the program's share of the headline weight, which follows household dollars, so the bars do not average to the headline.
- Local income tax100.0%0.3%
- Reduced-price school meals eligibility100.0%0.1%
- Free school meals eligibility99.0%0.7%
- TANF99.0%0.3%
- Person-level Medicare eligibility98.3%11%
- SSI97.9%2.0%
- Person-level CHIP eligibility97.7%0.2%
- Person-level Early Head Start eligibility97.4%3.1%
- Person-level WIC eligibility97.2%0.3%
- Person-level Head Start eligibility94.7%1.2%
- Self-employment tax93.0%2.1%
- SNAP86.0%4.1%
- Person-level Medicaid eligibility85.0%30%
- State refundable credits81.6%0.6%
- Federal refundable credits80.6%3.7%
- Payroll tax66.3%16%
- State tax before refundable credits61.2%6.0%
- Federal tax before refundable credits54.4%19%
Table view (exact, within 1%, outputs), hardest first
| Program | Exact | Within 1% | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal tax before refundable credits | 54.4% | 57.0% | 79 |
| State tax before refundable credits | 61.2% | 62.4% | 85 |
| Payroll tax | 66.3% | 72.6% | 95 |
| Federal refundable credits | 80.6% | 80.6% | 98 |
| State refundable credits | 81.6% | 81.6% | 98 |
| Person-level Medicaid eligibility | 85.0% | 85.0% | 173 |
| SNAP | 86.0% | 86.0% | 93 |
| Self-employment tax | 93.0% | 95.0% | 100 |
| Person-level Head Start eligibility | 94.7% | 94.7% | 38 |
| Person-level WIC eligibility | 97.2% | 97.2% | 177 |
| Person-level Early Head Start eligibility | 97.4% | 97.4% | 38 |
| Person-level CHIP eligibility | 97.7% | 97.7% | 177 |
| SSI | 97.9% | 97.9% | 97 |
| Person-level Medicare eligibility | 98.3% | 98.3% | 172 |
| Free school meals eligibility | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| TANF | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| Local income tax | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100 |
| Reduced-price school meals eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100 |
Hardest casesworst misses on positive references
- State tax before refundable credits2178% offReference $13 · predicted $291Inspect household #023
- Federal tax before refundable credits1901% offReference $500 · predicted $9,999Inspect household #046
- Federal tax before refundable credits100% offReference $2,906 · predicted $0Inspect household #000
- Payroll tax100% offReference $36,044 · predicted $0Inspect household #005
- State refundable credits100% offReference $155 · predicted $0Inspect household #007
- SNAP100% offReference $15,108 · predicted $0Inspect household #008
Scores are from the frozen manuscript snapshot under the AI-alone condition: structured responses over the same household facts (whole-scenario or in output subsets, per the serving-configuration table), no tools, graded against PolicyEngine reference outputs. See the leaderboard and paper for methodology. The frozen US annotations cover 7,527 rows whose legacy threshold score is below 1. That universe contains 7,523 of 7,523 exact-match misses and 4 exact hits. Another 2,072 rows with bounded score below 100 were not selected and have no audit annotation.