Inkling
United States benchmark
Exact match by programall 18 output groups, best first
Bar length is the unweighted exact-match rate on that program's outputs; the right column is the program's share of the headline weight, which follows household dollars, so the bars do not average to the headline.
- Person-level CHIP eligibility100.0%0.2%
- Person-level Early Head Start eligibility100.0%3.1%
- Person-level Head Start eligibility100.0%1.2%
- Person-level Medicare eligibility100.0%11%
- Free school meals eligibility99.0%0.7%
- Local income tax99.0%0.3%
- Self-employment tax99.0%2.1%
- TANF99.0%0.3%
- SSI99.0%2.0%
- Person-level WIC eligibility98.9%0.3%
- Reduced-price school meals eligibility98.0%0.1%
- Person-level Medicaid eligibility97.7%30%
- Federal refundable credits87.0%3.7%
- SNAP81.4%4.1%
- Payroll tax81.0%16%
- State refundable credits80.0%0.6%
- Federal tax before refundable credits60.0%19%
- State tax before refundable credits53.0%6.0%
Table view (exact, within 1%, outputs), hardest first
| Program | Exact | Within 1% | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| State tax before refundable credits | 53.0% | 56.0% | 100 |
| Federal tax before refundable credits | 60.0% | 68.0% | 100 |
| State refundable credits | 80.0% | 80.0% | 100 |
| Payroll tax | 81.0% | 86.0% | 100 |
| SNAP | 81.4% | 86.6% | 97 |
| Federal refundable credits | 87.0% | 92.0% | 100 |
| Person-level Medicaid eligibility | 97.7% | 97.7% | 177 |
| Reduced-price school meals eligibility | 98.0% | 98.0% | 100 |
| Person-level WIC eligibility | 98.9% | 98.9% | 177 |
| SSI | 99.0% | 99.0% | 97 |
| Free school meals eligibility | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| Local income tax | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| Self-employment tax | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| TANF | 99.0% | 99.0% | 100 |
| Person-level CHIP eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 177 |
| Person-level Early Head Start eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 38 |
| Person-level Head Start eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 38 |
| Person-level Medicare eligibility | 100.0% | 100.0% | 172 |
Hardest casesworst misses on positive references
- Federal tax before refundable credits543% offReference $1,346 · predicted $8,656Inspect household #039
- State tax before refundable credits292% offReference $514 · predicted $2,019Inspect household #039
- State tax before refundable credits186% offReference $1,028 · predicted $2,936Inspect household #122
- State refundable credits169% offReference $473 · predicted $1,275Inspect household #100
- State tax before refundable credits131% offReference $756 · predicted $1,747Inspect household #007
- SNAP112% offReference $2,428 · predicted $5,148Inspect household #079
Scores are from the frozen manuscript snapshot under the AI-alone condition: structured responses over the same household facts (whole-scenario or in output subsets, per the serving-configuration table), no tools, graded against PolicyEngine reference outputs. See the leaderboard and paper for methodology. The frozen US annotations cover 8,783 rows whose legacy threshold score is below 1. That universe contains 8,780 of 8,780 exact-match misses and 3 exact hits. Another 1,605 rows with bounded score below 100 were not selected and have no audit annotation.